Showing posts with label florida marlins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label florida marlins. Show all posts

Monday, September 8, 2008

Playoff Push Series 1: Marlins at Phillies

I thought of an improved and efficient way to do game previews. Let's see how it turns out.

9/8-9/10 v. Florida Marlins

9/8 Anibal Sanchez v. Joe Blanton

Sanchez 2008, career v. Phillies: 2-3 5.54 ERA, 0-2 8.79 ERA

Has trouble with:
Ryan Howard 3/5, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .600/.778/1.400
Chase Utley 3/9, 1 RBI, .333/.333/.778
Carlos Ruiz 2/3, 1 RBI, .667/.667/1.000

Blanton 2008, career v. Marlins: 1-0 4.34 ERA, N/A

Has trouble with:
Jorge Cantu 2/7, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .286/.375/.857
Alfredo Amezega 1/2, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .500/.500/2.000

The key for the Phillies to kick off this series is Joe Blanton recovering after a poor performance last time out. He needs to go longer than 4 innings, and it would be great if he could pitch into the 7th. We got him to throw a lot of innings, but in the last few starts, he's walked a lot of guys and racked up high pitch counts early. The Marlins have a dangerous lineup, and Blanton needs to throw strikes and stay in control.

9/9 Chris Volstad v. TBA

Volstad 2008, career v. Phillies: 4-3 3.32 ERA, 1-0 0.00 ERA

Has trouble with:
Chase Utley 1/2, .500/.667/.500
Cole Hamels 1/2, .500/.500/.500

TBA 2008, career v. Marlins: N/A, N/A

Has trouble with:
Likely no one

The Phillies can use J.A. Happ and Kyle Kendrick to fill the two TBA spots this week, with the other one being on Thursday. Looking at the career splits, despite being small sample sizes and unreliable, it might be best to start Happ on Tuesday and Kendrick on Thursday. Kendrick has gotten hit hard by Florida this year, and although Happ's two innings against them were awful, maybe he can rebound. Kendrick pitched well against Milwaukee last season, so maybe they should see if he can do it again.

9/10 Ricky Nolaso v. Brett Myers

Nolasco 2008, career v. Phillies: 13-7 3.56 ERA, 3-3 4.41 ERA

Has problems with:
Ryan Howard 2/10, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .200/.500/.800
Jimmy Rollins 5/15, 2 HR, 3 RBI, .333/.375/.867
Pat Burrell 4/12, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .333/.429/.750

Myers 2008, career v. Marlins: 9-10 4.19 ERA, 6-8 5.05 ERA

Has problems with:
Josh Willingham 5/10, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .500/.583/1.000
Mike Jacobs 8/24, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .333/.429/.750
Luis Gonzalez 6/15, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .400/.500/.600

Florida has historically hit Myers, but they haven't run into the buzzsaw version since he returned from the minor leagues. He's almost due to have a bad outing, and a lot of people are still waiting for the other shoe to drop. Ricky Nolasco has enjoyed a breakout 2008 campaign, including an earlier gem against the Phillies.

New York Mets 9/8-9/10
Off
v. Washington (Lannan @ Ol. perez)
v. Washington (Od. Perez @ Pelfrey)

Milwaukee Brewers 9/8-9/10
v. Cincinnati (Volquez @ Bush)
v. Cincinnati (Ramirez @ Suppan)
v. Cincinnati (Arroyo @ Sabathia)

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Game 113: Marlins at Philies (2/3)

Florida Marlins: 59-54
Philadelphia Phillies: 61-51

Anibal Sanchez (1-0 3.18 ERA, 0-1 10.61 ERA)
Kyle Kendrick (9-5 4.59 ERA, 1-1 5.40 ERA)

Projected lineups

Ramirez SS 2/9, .222/.222/.333
Hermida RF 3/9, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .333/.333/.667
Cantu 3B 2/3, .667/.667/.667
Willingham LF 3/6, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .500/.571/1.000
Uggla 2B 3/8, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .375/.444/.875
Jacobs 1B 0/6, .000/.333/.000
Ross CF 2/4, .500/.500/1.000
Baker C 2/2, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1.000/1.000/2.500
Sanchez P

Rollins SS 1/3, .333/.333/.333
Victorino CF 1/5, .200/.333/.200
Utley 2B 2/6, .333/.333/.833
Howard 1B 1/2, .500/.833/.500
Burrell LF 0/3
Jenkins RF 2/3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .667/.750/1.667
Dobbs 3B 0/1
Coste C N/A
Kendrick P

Last night was a pretty shameful display. Jamie Moyer didn't have his A-game with him, but he battled through it and gave the team a few decent innings. Once again, the offense couldn't string baserunners and hits together to score some runs, even though some of it was bad luck. The Marlins made some good defensive plays, and the Phillies had a baserunning blunder or two.

Last time out against the Marlins, Kyle Kendrick really struggled. He didn't have his best command, and he left a lot of pitches out over the plate, which reflects in the amount of home runs he gave up. With the offense struggling in just about every game, there's very little room for error tonight. Although Anibal Sanchez has bad career numbers against the Phillies, most of the damage was done by players like Mike Lieberthal, and even guys like Abe Nunez and Danny Sandoval.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Game 99: Phillies at Marlins (3/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 53-45
Florida Marlins: 51-46

Cole Hamels (9-6 3.15 ERA, 2-3 4.78 ERA)
Josh Johnson (0-0 5.40 ERA, 1-1 5.52 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 2/8, 1 RBI, .250/.250/.375
Victorino CF 0/3, .000/.250/.000
Utley 2B 2/7, .286/.375/.286
Howard 1B 3/7, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .429/.500/.857
Burrell LF 0/5
Jenkins RF 1/3, .333/.333/.333
Dobbs 3B N/A
Ruiz C N/A
Hamels P

Ramirez SS 8/18, .444/.500/.722
Hermida RF 2/12, .167/.167/.167
Cantu 1B 3/8, 3 HR, 4 RBI, .375/.375/1.500
Willingham LF 2/10, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .200/.333/.600
Uggla 2B 3/18, 1 RBI, .167/.200/.222
Helms 3B 4/12, 3 RBI, .333/.357/.500
Ross CF 1/13, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .077/.144/.308
Baker C N/A
Johnson P

The key for Cole Hamels today will be fastball location. The Marlins hit a lot of home runs and can put up some crooked numbers, but most of them have trouble with secondary pitches. He needs to use his fastball to keep them honest, but it has to be in the right place. Getting ahead of hitters will be huge, so he can bury them with his changeup.

The Phillies have hit Josh Johnson pretty well in the past, so it would be nice if they remember how to do it since they haven't seen him for a while. He's probably not all the way back from his injury quite yet, and it would really benefit the Phillies to get to him early and chase him out of the game. It's going to be hot out there.

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Game 98: Phillies at Marlins (2/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 53-44
Florida Marlins: 50-46

Kyle Kendrick (8-3 4.47 ERA, 1-0 2.57 ERA)
Scott Olsen (5-4 3.77 ERA, 3-5 5.33 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 5/26, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .192/.222/.462
Werth RF 5/10, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .500/.545/1.300
Utley 2B 3/21, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .143/.250/.429
Howard 1B 10/21, 2 HR, 9 RBI, .426/.522/.905
Burrell LF 4/21, .190/.346/.238
Feliz 3B 3/9, 1 RBI, .333/.333/.556
Victorino CF 2/13, .154/.154/.231
Coste C 1/5, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .200/.333/.800
Kendrick P

Ramirez SS 2/6, .333/.333/.500
Hermida RF 2/6, .333/.333/.333
Cantu 3B N/A
Jacobs 1B 0/5, .000/.167/.000
Uggla 2B 2/5, .400/.500/.600
Willingham LF 2/4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .500/.500/1.250
Ross CF 0/2
Hoover C N/A
Olsen P

Olsen is a pitcher Phillies fans love to hate, and with the way the players hit against him, they probably feel the same way. Olsen has been good this year, but he has struggled mightily in his career against the Phillies. Surprisingly, it's Ryan Howard that does most of the damage. He struggles to hit most lefties, but Olsen has been like batting practice to him.

Jamie Moyer did a nice job of not being too taxing on the bullpen last night. Durbin probably shouldn't pitch today, and hopefully they won't need him at all. Kendrick has pitched seven innings against Florida in his two prior career starts, and it would be great if he could make it three.

Friday, July 18, 2008

Game 97: Phillies at Marlins (1/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 52-44
Florida Marlins: 50-45

Jamie Moyer (8-6 3.95, 9-0 3.03 ERA)
Ricky Nolasco (10-4 3.70 ERA, 3-2 4.23 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 4/11, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .364/.417/1.000
Victorino CF 3/9, .333/.333/.556
Utley 2B 3/11, 1 RBI, .273/.429/.273
Howard 1B 1/8, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .125/.462/.500
Burrell LF 3/9, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .333/.455/.778
Feliz 3B 0/3
Jenkins RF 0/5, .000/.167/.000
Ruiz C 1/4, .250/.400/.250
Moyer P

Ramirez SS 9/27, 4 HR, 5 RBI, .333/.357/.852
Hermida RF 2/9, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .222/.417/.556
Cantu 1B 3/11, 2 RBI, .273/.333/.273
Willingham LF 1/15, .067/.067/.200
Uggla 2B 2/21, .095/.136/.143
Helms 3B 4/6, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .667/.750/1.333
Ross CF 3/22, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .136/.174/.273
Baker C N/A
Nolasco P

After the Reds failed to hold approximately a dozen leads against the Mets last night, the Phillies have some company atop the NL East. Anyone who counted out the Mets a few weeks ago was just ridiculous. They had some rough times, but those are now long gone. It's going to be a fight for the finish, and they aren't going to roll over and die.

It's important for the Phillies to establish momentum right now. They're traditionally a second half team, and what better way to prove it again than going on a nice run immediately after the break? Shane Victorino, Ryan Howard and Pat Burrell were hot entering the break, and the Phillies hope the week off didn't get them out of their rhythm.

Friday, May 30, 2008

Game 56: Marlins at Phillies (1/3)

Florida Marlins: 30-22
Philadelphia Phillies: 31-24

Mark Hendrickson (7-2 4.14 ERA, 0-1 12.60 ERA)
Brett Myers (2-6 5.79 ERA, 5-7 5.01 ERA)

Projected lineups:

Ramirez SS 5/17, 2 RBI, .294/.333/.353
Hermida RF 1/9, .111/.200/.111
Cantu 3B N/A
Jacobs 1B 7/18, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .389/.476/.778
Uggla 2B 7/18, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .389/.389/.833
Gonzalez LF 4/11, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .364/.364/.636
Treanor C 1/8, 1 RBI, .125/.125/.125
Jones CF 5/10, .500/.615/.800
Hendrickson P

Rollins SS 1/3, .333/.500/.333
Victorino CF 3/3, 2 RBI, 1.000/1.000/1.667
Utley 2B 2/3, 2 RBI, .667/.667/1.000
Howard 1B 0/2
Burrell LF 1/2, .500/.500/.500
Feliz 3B 3/15, .200/.200/.200
Coste C 0/2
Taguchi RF 2/9, 1 RBI, .222/.222/.222
Myers P

Neither starter has fared well against their opponent tonight, so whoever wins is going to have to get past their previous failures and pitch a good game. CBP is going to be a launching pad tonight, and limiting the longball will be a huge factor. This has obviously been a problem for Myers this season, and with power like Ramirez, Uggla and Jacobs in Florida's lineup, he has to limit his baserunners and hold them to solo shots.


Saturday, April 5, 2008

Stick Him In A Speedo And Take Him To South Beach!

Wes Helms has been traded to Florida, as per Ken Rosenthal and several other places.

Helms was designated for assignment earlier this week, and the Phillies had a limited time to trade him before he just became a free agent. Florida knew that Helms would opt to go to a contender if possible, so they jumped the gun and made a move. The Phillies will receive a PTBNL. I'm going to make a list of guys on Florida's minor league DL. If it's a player to be named, it's either someone that's currently injured or a 2007 draft pick.

AAA P Kenny Baugh
AAA P Tim Corcoran
AAA P Dallas Trahern
AAA P Ross Wolf
AA P Matt Yourkin
A+ P Eric Basurto
A+ P Jason Iehl
A+ P Timothy Wood (Suspended)
A P Rodolfo Encarnacion
A P Blake Jones
A P Joshua Roberts
A P Sandy Rosario
A C Daniel Santin
A 3B Matt Dominguez
A SS Guillermo Martinez

If we get a guy from that list, it'll probably be a pitcher. It's really unlikely they trade anyone in AA or above and probably not their 2007 first rounder, Matt Dominguez.