Showing posts with label new york mets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label new york mets. Show all posts

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Game 102: Phillies at Mets (3/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 54-47
New York Mets: 54-47

Jamie Moyer (9-6 3.90 ERA, 7-4 2.95 ERA)
Oliver Perez (6-6 4.36 ERA, 2-3 3.39 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 7/25, 2 HR, 3 RBI, .280/.357/.560
Utley 2B 3/12, 1 RBI, .250/471/.333
Burrell LF 7/25, 4 HR, 7 RBI, .280/.387/.800
Howard 1B 2/19, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .105/.182/.263
Werth RF 3/12, 2 RBI, .250/.474/.250
Feliz 3B 1/14, .071/.188/.071
Victorino CF 2/10, 1 RBI, .200/.273/.200
Ruiz C 3/8, .375/.500/.375
Moyer P

Reyes SS 10/30, 2 RBI, .333/.355/.467
Chavez RF 2/6, .333/.333/.333
Wright 3B 12/27, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .444/.464/.815
Beltran CF 10/46, 2 RBI, .217/.345/.283
Easley 2B 13/47, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .277/.404/.340
Delgado 1B 30/74, 8 HR, 17 RBI, .405/.476/.824
Tatis LF 1/2, .500/.667/1.000
Schneider C 2/5, 1 RBI, .400/.571/.400
Perez P

Last time the Phillies played Perez, the good one showed up. However, I still don't think the Phillies were patient enough. He's going to throw a lot of pitches out of the strike zone, whether he's on or not. His slider can be unhittable, so they need to let that go and hit his fastballs. Work the count, make him throw pitches and get him out of the game early.

I guess I have to give credit to Myers for settling in a little bit, but it still wasn't a very good outing. He didn't get taken deep at all, which was a huge plus. The most surprising thing about his demotion? Despite almost four weeks of not making an ML appearance, he still leads the league in home runs. He has to get back in command, and he still has to work lower in the strike zone. The problem is, the Phillies don't have all season to see if he can figure this out. He should only get one, maybe two more starts before Happ is called up again.

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Game 101: Phillies at Mets (2/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 54-46
New York Mets: 53-47

Brett Myers (3-9 5.84 ERA, 8-6 5.18 ERA)
John Maine (8-7 4.22 ERA, 4-0 2.36 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 3/21, 1 RBI, .143/.182/.238
Victorino CF 5/16, .313/.389/.313
Utley 2B 7/20, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .350/.375/.600
Howard 1B 4/20, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .200/.304/.500
Burrell LF 3/21, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .143/.217/.286
Jenkins RF 1/5, .200/.200/.400
Feliz 3B 3/7, 1 HR, 1 RBI,
Coste C 2/7, .286/.375/.571
Myers P

Reyes SS 12/36, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .333/.351/.583
Chavez RF 2/15, .133/.235/.333
Wright 3B 5/24, 3 HR, 6 RBI, .208/.321/.625
Beltran CF 8/27, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .296/.345/.519
Delgado 1B 7/16, 2 RBI, .438/.571/.688
Easley 2B 4/9, 1 RBI, .444/.444/.556
Tatis LF N/A
Schneider C 8/35, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .229/.325/.343
Maine P

This is it. Brett Myers cannot suck the life out of the team as he did for so long this season. After last night's unlikely comeback win, this team could carry over some momentum. It's important to win as many series as possible, and the Phillies haven't put together a solid string for a while. At the very least, he has to get out of the first inning without doing serious damage to the team.

John Maine has completely dominated the Phillies. Just look at those numbers; Rollins and Burrell, two huge keys to the offense, absolutely struggle against Maine. They have to hit him sometime, right? Is it possible for a guy to just go an entire career dominating a team like he has? He has walked 10 batters in his last two starts, so the Phillies need to stay patient, get baserunners and come up with timely hits.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Game 100: Phillies at Mets (1/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 53-46
New York Mets: 53-46

Joe Blanton (0-0 --- ERA, 1-0 0.00 ERA)
Johan Santana (8-7 3.10 ERA, 1-0 2.75 ERA)

Projected lineups

Rollins SS 0/7
Werth RF 2/7, .286/.286/.286
Utley 2B 2/7, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .286/.286/.714
Howard 1B 2/6, 1 RBI, .333/.333/.333
Burrell LF 2/7, 1 RBI, .286/.375/.286
Feliz 3B 1/10, 1 RBI, .100/.100/.100
Victorino CF 0/3
Coste C 0/3
Blanton P

Reyes SS 0/6, .000/.143/.000
Chavez RF N/A
Wright 3B 1/5, .200/.200/.200
Beltran CF 2/6, .333/.333/.333
Easley 2B N/A
Delgado 1B 0/3
Tatis LF N/A
Schneider C 1/1, 1.000/1.000/1.000
Santana P

First of all, it's not the end of the season if the Phillies lose this series. It's July, and there's a lot of baseball left to be played. The division is not won with 60 games left to play. With that being said, it would still be nice for the Phillies to win a series against these guys for once. Their success against the Mets was a huge key to last season, and they haven't replicated that yet.

For the sake of the fanbase, I hope Blanton has a good debut tonight. There were a lot of people complaining about the trade, and too many didn't even want to give him a chance before blasting him. His numbers in Oakland were bad this year, but he's shown in the past he can at least be a league average pitcher.

Monday, July 7, 2008

Game 90: Mets at Phillies (4/4)

New York Mets: 44-44
Philadelphia Phillies: 48-41

Pedro Martinez (2-2 7.39 ERA, 7-5 3.27 ERA)
Adam Eaton (3-6 4.79 ERA, 5-0 3.29 ERA)

Projected lineups

Reyes SS
Chavez LF
Wright 3B
Beltran CF
Delgado 1B
Easley 2B
Anderson LF
Schneider C
Martinez P

Rollins SS
Victorino CF
Utley 2B
Howard 1B
Burrell LF
Dobbs 3B
Jenkins RF
Coste C
Eaton P

It's tough to rely on Adam Eaton, but the Phillies need to split the series today. He's done a good job against the Mets, and he has to put in another good outing today since the bullpen is pretty depleted. Flash went on the DL, and R.J. Swindle was called up, so that's one fresh arm in the mix. It'll be interesting to see how he does because he really doesn't have conventional stuff.

Pat Burrell not making the All-Star Game is an absolute joke. People complain about fan voting, but if the players and managers, especially Clint Hurdle can't see what kind of year he's having, then they're not much better at voting themselves. It'll be sad if he doesn't get in as an injury replacement or with the final ballot, and I might not watch the game if he's not there. That's just one of many bad selections by the players and Hurdle.

Sunday, July 6, 2008

Game 89: Mets at Phillies (3/4)

New York Mets: 43-44
Philadelphia Phillies: 48-40

Oliver Perez (6-5 4.98 ERA, 2-3 3.83 ERA)
Kyle Kendrick (8-3 4.58 ERA, 1-1 3.00 ERA)

Projected lineups

Reyes SS
Chavez RF
Wright 3B
Beltran CF
Schneider C
Delgado 1B
Easley 2B
Anderson LF
Perez P

Werth RF
Utley 2B
Rollins SS
Howard 1B
Burrell LF
Feliz 3B
Victorino CF
Coste C
Kendrick P

After things unraveled late last night, the Phillies will get right back into it this afternoon with a beatable pitcher. Perez has decent numbers against us, but it's almost guaranteed he's not going to have command of his stuff. The lineup needs to stay patient and wait for him to make mistakes. He walks a lot of guys, and if he's going to just give away baserunners, they need to take advantage.

I think it's pretty much a lock that Utley and Lidge are headed to New York in a week and a half. After that, I'm pretty confident Burrell will make it and finally be a first time All-Star. Hamels is the guy I'm not sure about. He's a top pitcher in most categories, and it just depends on Clint Hurdle looking at the right ones.

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Game 88: Mets at Phillies (2/4)

New York Mets: 42-44
Philadelphia Phillies: 48-39

John Maine (8-6 3.86 ERA, 4-0 2.05 ERA)
Jamie Moyer (7-6 4.13 ERA, 4-7 2.88 ERA)

Projected lineups

Reyes SS 8/26, 2 RBI, .308/.333/.423
Church RF 3/11, 2 RBI, .273/.333/.364
Wright 3B 11/24, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .458/.480/.833
Beltran CF 10/45, 2 RBI, .222/.327/.289
Delgado 1B 30/71, 8 HR, 17 RBI, .423/.494/.859
Easley 2B 12/44, 1 RBI, .273/.407/.341
Schneider C 2/5, 1 RBI, .400/.571/.400
Tatis LF 1/2, .500/.667/1.000
Maine P

Rollins SS 3/18, 1 RBI, .167/.211/.278
Victorino CF 5/14, .357/.400/.357
Utley 2B 7/18, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .389/.381/.667
Howard 1B 3/18, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .167/.286/.333
Burrell LF 3/19, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .158/.238/.316
Feliz 3B 3/5, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .600/.667/1.400
Jenkins RF 1/3, .333/.333/.667
Ruiz C 3/9, .333/.333/.333
Moyer P

The Phillies run into a problem tonight. John Maine has great career numbers against the Phillies, and he is yet to lose a game against them. They would obviously like to end that tonight and keep up the momentum from last night's win. Familiarity shouldn't be an issue here. Everyone in the lineup has faced him at least once, even the guys that didn't play here last year, Jenkins and Feliz.

I guess J.A. Happ did about as well as you could expect considering the circumstances. I'm not going to shower him with praise like some did because he didn't last 5 innings and got bailed out in a major way by Chad Durbin, but he did okay. Later today, I'm going to watch the game on tape and break down how things really went.

Friday, July 4, 2008

Game 87: Mets at Phillies (1/4)

New York Mets: 42-43
Philadelphia Phillies: 47-39

Johan Santana (7-7 3.01 ERA, 1-0 3.09 ERA)
J.A. Happ (0-0 --- ERA, 0-1 11.25 ERA)

Projected lineups

Reyes SS 1/3, .333/.333/.333
Church RF N/A
Wright 3B 1/2, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .500/.500/2.000
Beltran CF 2/3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .667/.667/1.667
Delgado 1B 1/2, .500/.500/1.000
Easley 2B 1/2, .500/.500/.500
Tatis LF N/A
Castro C N/A
Santana P

Rollins SS 0/3
Victorino CF
Utley 2B 1/3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .333/.333/1.333
Burrell LF 1/4, .250/.400/.250
Howard 1B 0/3
Werth RF 0/3
Feliz 3B 1/7, 1 RBI, .143/.143/.143
Coste C N/A
Happ P

Happ will make his 2008 ML debut in a somewhat familiar situation. Last year, he made his ML debut against the Mets in an early-summer four game series. Hopefully he fares better than last year. He was touched up early and only went 4 IP. He was injured last year, and this is his first return trip to the majors since.

I honestly have to say I'm not too confident about this one. The Mets only have two lefty hitters in their lineup, and those are obviously the guys Happ will have the most success against. Even though Delgado hit him hard last year, I think the improved, non-injured Happ can come out on top against him. However, he needs to gain confidence in his secondary stuff against righties quickly, or Chad Durbin and Clay Condrey will be warming up much too soon.

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Game 19: Mets at Phillies (3/3)

New York Mets: 10-6
Philadelphia Phillies: 8-10

Mike Pelfrey (2-0 1.50 ERA, 1-1 3.60 ERA)
Adam Eaton (0-0 4.12 ERA, 5-0 2.90 ERA)

Projected lineups:

Reyes SS 4/12, 1 RBI, .333/.467/.333
Church RF 2/11, 2 RBI, .182/.250/.182
Wright 3B 1/13, .077/.333/.154
Beltran CF 5/13, 2 HR, 5 RBI, .385/.467/.923
Delgado 1B 3/13, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .231/.333/.538
Pagan LF 2/3, .667/.667/1.000
Schneider C 2/13, 1 HR, 3 RBI, .154/.214/.385
Castillo 2B 4/17, 1 RBI, .235/.381/.294
Pelfrey P

Taguchi CF N/A
Dobbs 3B 1/2, 1 RBI, .500/.500/1.000
Utley 2B 1/6, 1 RBI, .167/.167/.333
Howard 1B 1/5, .200/.333/.200
Burrell LF 1/2, .500/.750/.500
Jenkins RF 1/5, .200/.200/.200
Ruiz C 1/4, 1 RBI, .250/.250/.250
Bruntlett SS 0/2, .000/.333/.000

It's time for the Phillies to stop wasting Adam Eaton's starts. We've been very fortunate to get some good outings out of him this season, and we have nothing to show for it. It's probably only a matter of time until the other shoe drops, so the Phillies need to take advantage while they can.

To beat the Mets, the Phillies need to be the team getting off to a fast start, not New York. They've scored in the first inning in both games so far, and the Phillies have been in a hole immediately. It's taken a while for them to get their bats going in the last two games, and getting on the scoreboard early will help a lot.
Eaton P

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Game 9: Phillies at Mets (2/3)

Philadelphia Phillies: 4-4
New York Mets: 2-4

Kyle Kendrick (1-0 7.20 ERA, 1-0 2.70 ERA)
Mike Pelfrey (0-0 --- ERA, 0-1 3.60 ERA)

Projected lineups:

Rollins SS 1/3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .333/.333/1.333
Victorino CF 2/3, .667/.667/.667
Utley 2B 0/3
Howard 1B 0/2, .000/.333/.000
Burrell LF 0/0, .000/1.000/.000
Jenkins RF 0/3
Feliz 3B N/A
Ruiz C 0/2
Kendrick P

Reyes SS 1/2, .500/.667/.500
Pagan LF N/A
Wright 3B 1/3, .333/.333/.333
Beltran CF 0/2, .000/.333/.000
Delgado 1B 2/3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .667/.667/2.000
Church RF 3/7, 1 HR, 1 RBI, .429/.556/.857
Easley 2B N/A
Schneider C 2/5, 3 RBI, .400/.500/.600
Pelfrey P

Jimmy Rollins is apparently in the lineup and able to play tonight. When he left the game, thousands of Phillies fans were immediately worried. He's irreplaceable at the plate and in the field. No one in the organization brings what he does, and it could've been a big loss. Dobbs might start at 3rd.

When you're facing the Mets, it would be great to have a second lefty in the bullpen. J.C. Romero might not be available to pitch all three games, when he could take advantage of most of their lineup. Pagan, Delgado, Church and Schneider are all lefty batters, and in most lineups Willie Randolph will pencil in this year, three to even four of them could be batting consecutively.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Day Games

This is the Phillies' 4th in a row, and it's time to stop. I have no idea why Cincy had three consecutive afternoon games, and it's just annoying. Hopefully, I'll be able to do previews for the next few night games.

Right now, the Phillies are down 2-0 in the top of the 7th. Jamie Moyer kept them in the game, and the offense couldn't take care of opportunities against Oliver Perez, who is also out of the game.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

The Twins Are Down And Can't Get Up

Twins deal Johan Santana to the Mets for four prospects. Thank you USA Today.

As I've alluded to in the heading on this blog, I don't see what the Twins are thinking. Obviously, I'm not in baseball, and I don't know all the details of this offseason's negotiations, but I find it hard to believe this was the best deal the Twins had on the table.

If it's true that the Yankees were offering a package involving Phil Hughes or if the Red Sox were offering a package of blue chip prospects, the Twins might regret not taking one of those deals. Although they got the Mets' 2, 3, 4 and 7th ranked prospects according to Baseball America, The Mets' farm system isn't that strong. As a whole, they don't have much high ceiling talent. With the trade the Twins accepted, I don't think they got any.

Fernando Martinez is the Mets' best prospect. He has a lot of tools and he's really being challenged in leagues he probably shouldn't be in yet. Is he a sure thing? No, but he has the highest ceiling of anyone in the Mets organization. Carlos Gomez is essentially the same player but probably won't be as good, so I think the Twins could've at least held out for him. The trade would've been a little better.

As for the guys the Twins did get? Carlos Gomez is a pretty good prospect. He spent quite a bit of time in the majors last year and shouldn't be considered a prospect, but let's keep calling him that for kicks. Although he was in the majors, it wasn't necessarily good; he hit .232/.288/.304 in 125 AB. He wasn't impressive at the plate, but he's a toolsy player. He's a great athlete that's going to steal a lot of bases and play great defense. I think he'll be the Twins' Opening Day Centerfielder, and along with Delmon Young and Michael Cuddyer, he could help form a formidable outfield in the AL.

Deolis Guerra might have the highest upside in the deal, but it's just that, upside. He was an 18 year old and he played all season in High A St. Lucie, which is very impressive. He's still pretty raw and needs to do a lot of developing before he can make a difference. He did take one big step this year, and that was improve his command. In his first full pro season split between Low and High A in 2006, he walked far too many batters. In 2007, he got his BB/9 under 3. He could still stand to improve his strikeout numbers though.

Kevin Mulvey is the 4th best prospect in the Mets' system. The former Villanova Wildcat was a second round pick of the Mets in 2006, and he could be ready to contribute to the Twins soon. He's only had a little more than one season of pro ball, but he's put up pretty impressive numbers. He has a 3.02 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 30 starts, ranging from AA Binghamton to AAA New Orleans. He's been on the fast track through the system so far, but questions about his stuff mean he might not be any more than a 3/4 starter.

Finally, Philip Humber. He was the 3rd overall pick in 2004 and part of Rice's famous big three. Who would've thought that none of those guys would succeed? The Mets certainly didn't; they were probably expecting more than 9 ML innings out of a top 3 pick who will be 25 on Opening Day. He used to have a lot of promise, but after his 2007, it looks like he might never reach it.

As for the Mets, they have a 72 hour window to negotiate an extension with Santana. They have a good roster and they have the cash to get it done, so I don't expect that to be a problem. Santana had a down year in 2007, for his standards anyway. His 15-13 record with a 3.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP is obviously nothing to sneeze that, but consider this. Since he became a full time starter in in 2004, he had his fewest amount of wins, most amount of losses, fewest IP, highest H/9, highest BB/9, lowest K/9, highest ERA and highest WHIP in 2007. His numbers were still better than just about every pitcher in baseball though.

Going to Shea Stadium will help him out a lot. It's a pitchers' park and since he's in the NL, on most nights, he won't be facing offenses as explosive as some of the ones he saw in the AL. He's only going to be 29 for the 2008 season, so he shouldn't be out of his prime yet. To put it simply, no matter what number I can give you, the Mets got an awesome pitcher who's going to make a huge difference.

What does this mean for the Phillies? It just lets everyone know it's going to be a close race again. Some Phillies fans could've used this to bring them back down to earth anyway. The Phillies are a good team. The Mets are a good team. Hell, you can't count the Braves out either. The Mets made a great move today without hurting their current ML roster. Could this burn them in the future? Maybe, but I think it's more likely that Santana gives the Mets several great years than any of the guys the Twins got becoming stars.

EDIT: One thing I forgot to mention. I hope this deal wasn't made to keep Santana out of the AL. I don't think trading him to a team that you don't play often just so he "doesn't come back to bite you" is the right way to run a franchise. Yeah, it'll suck if he pitches some good games against you and helps the Sox or Yankees win a championship, but I think the Twins should've taken the best deal, whether it was the Yankees, Tigers or Yomiuri Giants.